BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison Aquinas

Class: 1A Class Rank: 29 Conference: (16-7) Overall: (16-8) Overall Strength =   55.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2004 Away    L *  58.93  66   67   2A   57 (19- 5) Central Lee             2.89     -3.89                      
  2 12/04/2004 Away    W *  89.51  91   38   2A  119 ( 4-18) Columbus Junction      33.46     19.54                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    L *  37.34  56   65   1A   82 ( 9-13) West Point Marquette  -18.70      9.70                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    W *  83.14  71   33   1A   63 (15- 9) Notre Dame             27.10     10.90                      
  5 12/14/2004 Away    W *  56.42  63   39   1A  121 ( 3-19) New London              0.38     23.62                      
  6 12/17/2004 Home    W *  61.05  60   44   2A   99 (12-10) West Burlington         5.01     10.99                      
  7 12/21/2004 Home    W *  60.78  64   42   1A  101 ( 7-16) Keokuk Stritch          4.74     17.26                      
  8 01/07/2005 Away    W *  56.76  64   58   2A   89 (15- 8) Danville                0.72      5.28                      
  9 01/11/2005 Home    W *  48.00  44   39   1A   82 ( 9-13) West Point Marquette   -8.05     13.05                      
 10 01/14/2005 Home    L *  35.59  55   76   2A   57 (19- 5) Central Lee           -20.45     -0.55                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W *  67.08  79   41   1A  121 ( 3-19) New London             11.03 *   26.97                      
 12 01/21/2005 Away    W *  56.48  79   71   1A   63 (15- 9) Notre Dame              0.44      7.56                      
 13 01/24/2005 Home    L    43.04  42   56   3A   47 (11-13) Fort Madison          -13.01     -0.99  was 01/03/05 now 01/24/05
 14 01/25/2005 Away    W *  57.12  62   47   1A  101 ( 7-16) Keokuk Stritch          1.08     13.92                      
 15 01/28/2005 Away    W *  63.39  47   32   2A   99 (12-10) West Burlington         7.35      7.65                      
 16 02/01/2005 Home    W *  51.42  61   57   2A   89 (15- 8) Danville               -4.62      8.62                      
 17 02/04/2005 Away    L *  65.57  55   57   1A    9 (23- 3) Wayland WACO            9.53    -11.53                      
 18 02/07/2005 Away    L *  51.67  65   91   1A    3 (28- 1) Iowa Mennonite         -4.37    -21.63                      
 19 02/12/2005 Neutral L *  25.26  34   67   2A   57 (19- 5) Central Lee           -30.78     -2.22                      
 20 02/14/2005 Away    W *  80.27  88   53   2A  107 (11-11) Louisa-Muscatine       24.23     10.77  was 01/04/05 now 02/14/05
 21 02/18/2005 Away    W *  49.54  62   53   1A  107 ( 7-15) Winfield-Mt Union      -6.50     15.50                      
 22 02/23/2005 Home    W *  53.00  59   49   1A   82 ( 9-13) West Point Marquette   -3.05     13.05                      
 23 02/28/2005 Home    W *  43.78  60   55   1A  101 ( 7-16) Keokuk Stritch        -12.26     17.26                      
 24 03/02/2005 Neutral L *  49.90  40   56   1A    9 (23- 3) Wayland WACO           -6.14     -9.86                      
      Averages              56.04  61.1 53.6

Best game:   89.51 = 53 point win over Columbus Junction
Worst game:  25.26 = 33 point loss to Donnellson Central Lee
Team stdev:  14.74